{
 "glasgow_quarterly": [
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2020/21",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2020,
   "order": 8082,
   "count": 72
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2020/21",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8083,
   "count": 86
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8084,
   "count": 80
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8085,
   "count": 87
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8086,
   "count": 78
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8087,
   "count": 88
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8088,
   "count": 72
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8089,
   "count": 72
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8090,
   "count": 78
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8091,
   "count": 70
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8092,
   "count": 80
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8093,
   "count": 79
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8094,
   "count": 94
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8095,
   "count": 96
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8096,
   "count": 118
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8097,
   "count": 118
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8098,
   "count": 121
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8099,
   "count": 111
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8100,
   "count": 117
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8101,
   "count": 136
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8102,
   "count": 90
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2026,
   "order": 8103,
   "count": 130
  },
  {
   "crime": "Rape",
   "fy": "2026/27",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2026,
   "order": 8104,
   "count": 108
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2020/21",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2020,
   "order": 8082,
   "count": 115
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2020/21",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8083,
   "count": 132
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8084,
   "count": 138
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8085,
   "count": 220
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2021,
   "order": 8086,
   "count": 198
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2021/22",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8087,
   "count": 203
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8088,
   "count": 191
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8089,
   "count": 176
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2022,
   "order": 8090,
   "count": 174
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2022/23",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8091,
   "count": 194
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8092,
   "count": 185
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8093,
   "count": 158
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2023,
   "order": 8094,
   "count": 152
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2023/24",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8095,
   "count": 154
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8096,
   "count": 227
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8097,
   "count": 197
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2024,
   "order": 8098,
   "count": 210
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2024/25",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8099,
   "count": 157
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8100,
   "count": 179
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Jul-Sep",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8101,
   "count": 198
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Oct-Dec",
   "year": 2025,
   "order": 8102,
   "count": 189
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2025/26",
   "quarter": "Jan-Mar",
   "year": 2026,
   "order": 8103,
   "count": 183
  },
  {
   "crime": "Sexual assault",
   "fy": "2026/27",
   "quarter": "Apr-Jun",
   "year": 2026,
   "order": 8104,
   "count": 192
  }
 ],
 "glasgow_vs_rest_full_year": [
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Rape",
   "financial_year": "2020/21",
   "Glasgow City": 322,
   "Rest of Scotland": 1898
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Rape",
   "financial_year": "2021/22",
   "Glasgow City": 333,
   "Rest of Scotland": 2073
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Rape",
   "financial_year": "2022/23",
   "Glasgow City": 292,
   "Rest of Scotland": 2118
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Rape",
   "financial_year": "2023/24",
   "Glasgow City": 349,
   "Rest of Scotland": 2012
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Rape",
   "financial_year": "2024/25",
   "Glasgow City": 468,
   "Rest of Scotland": 2297
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Rape",
   "financial_year": "2025/26",
   "Glasgow City": 473,
   "Rest of Scotland": 2590
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Sexual assault",
   "financial_year": "2020/21",
   "Glasgow City": 573,
   "Rest of Scotland": 3701
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Sexual assault",
   "financial_year": "2021/22",
   "Glasgow City": 759,
   "Rest of Scotland": 4711
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Sexual assault",
   "financial_year": "2022/23",
   "Glasgow City": 735,
   "Rest of Scotland": 4550
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Sexual assault",
   "financial_year": "2023/24",
   "Glasgow City": 649,
   "Rest of Scotland": 4343
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Sexual assault",
   "financial_year": "2024/25",
   "Glasgow City": 791,
   "Rest of Scotland": 4397
  },
  {
   "Sub_Category": "Sexual assault",
   "financial_year": "2025/26",
   "Glasgow City": 749,
   "Rest of Scotland": 4482
  }
 ],
 "census_2022": {
  "Glasgow City": {
   "population": 620756,
   "non_uk_born": 118819,
   "non_uk_born_pct": 19.1,
   "non_uk_passport": 81786,
   "non_uk_passport_pct_of_passport_holders": 15.5
  },
  "Greater Glasgow division (Glasgow City + East Dunbartonshire + East Renfrewshire)": {
   "population": 826510,
   "non_uk_born": 133363,
   "non_uk_born_pct": 16.1,
   "non_uk_passport": 88620,
   "non_uk_passport_pct_of_passport_holders": 12.5
  },
  "Scotland": {
   "population": 5439843,
   "non_uk_born": 554875,
   "non_uk_born_pct": 10.2,
   "non_uk_passport": 383200,
   "non_uk_passport_pct_of_passport_holders": 8.6
  }
 },
 "foi_accused": {
  "26-0040 Greater Glasgow rape accused 2025": {
   "accused_entries": 117,
   "unknown": 62,
   "known": 55,
   "british": 43,
   "non_british": 12,
   "non_british_pct_of_known": 21.8,
   "if_all_unknown_were_foreign_pct": 63.2,
   "if_all_unknown_were_british_pct": 10.3
  },
  "25-0272 Greater Glasgow rape accused 2024 ethnicity": {
   "accused_entries": 153,
   "not_recorded": 28,
   "known": 125,
   "white_scottish_or_british_pct": 73.6,
   "non_white_pct": 21.6
  },
  "25-1795 Scotland all sexual crime accused Jan2024-May2025 nationality": {
   "accused_entries": 10011,
   "not_recorded": 5440,
   "known": 4571,
   "british": 3722,
   "non_british": 849,
   "non_british_pct_of_known": 18.6
  }
 },
 "arithmetic": {
  "extra_recorded_rape_and_sexual_assault_2024_25": 266,
  "glasgow_men_16_plus": 270541,
  "baseline_crimes_per_1000_men_2023_24": 3.8,
  "1,048 refugee households from outwith Glasgow in 2024/25, assume ~1,000 men": {
   "men": 1000,
   "needed_crimes_per_1000_men": 266.0,
   "multiple_of_city_rate": 70.0
  },
  "all Home Office-supported asylum seekers in Glasgow (~4,100), assume ~2,500 men": {
   "men": 2500,
   "needed_crimes_per_1000_men": 106.4,
   "multiple_of_city_rate": 28.0
  },
  "supported asylum seekers plus 2024/25 refugee arrivals, assume ~3,500 men": {
   "men": 3500,
   "needed_crimes_per_1000_men": 76.0,
   "multiple_of_city_rate": 20.0
  }
 },
 "england_quartiles": [
  {
   "asy_q": "Fewest",
   "councils": 69.0,
   "asylum_per_1000_mean": 0.02,
   "asylum_per_1000_min": 0.0,
   "asylum_per_1000_max": 0.09,
   "offences_2023_24": 21290.0,
   "offences_2024_25": 23016.0,
   "pct_change": 8.11,
   "median_council_pct_change": 8.96
  },
  {
   "asy_q": "Q2",
   "councils": 69.0,
   "asylum_per_1000_mean": 0.48,
   "asylum_per_1000_min": 0.1,
   "asylum_per_1000_max": 1.0,
   "offences_2023_24": 36052.0,
   "offences_2024_25": 38110.0,
   "pct_change": 5.71,
   "median_council_pct_change": 6.14
  },
  {
   "asy_q": "Q3",
   "councils": 69.0,
   "asylum_per_1000_mean": 1.63,
   "asylum_per_1000_min": 1.02,
   "asylum_per_1000_max": 2.41,
   "offences_2023_24": 46119.0,
   "offences_2024_25": 51717.0,
   "pct_change": 12.14,
   "median_council_pct_change": 10.66
  },
  {
   "asy_q": "Most",
   "councils": 69.0,
   "asylum_per_1000_mean": 3.6,
   "asylum_per_1000_min": 2.45,
   "asylum_per_1000_max": 7.96,
   "offences_2023_24": 60409.0,
   "offences_2024_25": 65747.0,
   "pct_change": 8.84,
   "median_council_pct_change": 10.7
  }
 ],
 "england_cross_section": {
  "n": 276,
  "matched_offences_2023_24": 163870,
  "matched_offences_2024_25": 178590,
  "corr_level": 0.148,
  "spearman_level": 0.061,
  "corr_change": 0.03,
  "regressions": {
   "all|weighted": {
    "n": 276,
    "level_coef": 0.0194,
    "level_p": 0.025,
    "change_coef": 0.0055,
    "change_p": 0.774
   },
   "all|unweighted": {
    "n": 276,
    "level_coef": 0.0226,
    "level_p": 0.007,
    "change_coef": 0.0138,
    "change_p": 0.411
   },
   "excluding_metropolitan_police|weighted": {
    "n": 244,
    "level_coef": 0.0224,
    "level_p": 0.031,
    "change_coef": -0.0184,
    "change_p": 0.451
   },
   "excluding_metropolitan_police|unweighted": {
    "n": 244,
    "level_coef": 0.0257,
    "level_p": 0.007,
    "change_coef": 0.0024,
    "change_p": 0.911
   },
   "police_force_fixed_effects|weighted": {
    "n": 276,
    "level_coef": 0.014,
    "level_p": 0.036
   }
  },
  "note": "Level = asylum seekers per 1,000 residents at December 2023; change = December 2023 to December 2024; outcome = log change in recorded sexual offences 2023/24 to 2024/25."
 },
 "england_panel": {
  "rows": 3539,
  "councils": 276,
  "pct_per_asylum_seeker_per_1000": 0.72,
  "ci95": [
   -0.83,
   2.3
  ],
  "p": 0.365,
  "variants": {
   "available_support_rows": {
    "rows": 3539,
    "councils": 276,
    "pct_per_asylum_seeker_per_1000": 0.72,
    "ci95": [
     -0.83,
     2.3
    ],
    "p": 0.365
   },
   "missing_support_as_zero": {
    "rows": 3864,
    "councils": 276,
    "pct_per_asylum_seeker_per_1000": 0.72,
    "ci95": [
     -0.82,
     2.29
    ],
    "p": 0.359
   }
  }
 },
 "scotland_panel": {
  "all_32": {
   "pct_per_asylum_seeker_per_1000": -3.8,
   "ci95": [
    -7.8,
    0.4
   ],
   "p": 0.076
  },
  "excluding_glasgow": {
   "pct_per_asylum_seeker_per_1000": -1.0,
   "ci95": [
    -7.0,
    5.3
   ],
   "p": 0.743
  }
 },
 "glasgow_wards_top": [
  {
   "ward": "Anderston/City/Yorkhill",
   "fy_2022_23": 430,
   "fy_2023_24": 354,
   "fy_2024_25": 458,
   "fy_2025_26": 349,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 104
  },
  {
   "ward": "Southside Central",
   "fy_2022_23": 81,
   "fy_2023_24": 99,
   "fy_2024_25": 141,
   "fy_2025_26": 109,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 42
  },
  {
   "ward": "Calton",
   "fy_2022_23": 142,
   "fy_2023_24": 127,
   "fy_2024_25": 166,
   "fy_2025_26": 112,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 39
  },
  {
   "ward": "Drumchapel/Anniesland",
   "fy_2022_23": 74,
   "fy_2023_24": 66,
   "fy_2024_25": 96,
   "fy_2025_26": 65,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 30
  },
  {
   "ward": "Maryhill",
   "fy_2022_23": 60,
   "fy_2023_24": 50,
   "fy_2024_25": 73,
   "fy_2025_26": 45,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 23
  },
  {
   "ward": "East Centre",
   "fy_2022_23": 63,
   "fy_2023_24": 75,
   "fy_2024_25": 97,
   "fy_2025_26": 85,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 22
  },
  {
   "ward": "Linn",
   "fy_2022_23": 70,
   "fy_2023_24": 57,
   "fy_2024_25": 73,
   "fy_2025_26": 49,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 16
  },
  {
   "ward": "Dennistoun",
   "fy_2022_23": 53,
   "fy_2023_24": 63,
   "fy_2024_25": 79,
   "fy_2025_26": 53,
   "change_23_24_to_24_25": 16
  }
 ]
}